The Next 100 Years

I love this book and recommend it often because of its exceptional forecasting ability. Author George Friedman can’t guarantee the future, but his arguments for likely outcomes are exceptionally cogent and well thought through. The book was written in 2009 and well before the COVID-19 pandemic, which changed things considerably in terms of economic impact, labor scarcity, global migration patterns, and so much more.

Still, its findings are more than insightful and combine a well-honed imagination with historical expertise to forecast the 21st century’s likely trajectory by decade, including the United States, Russia, China, Africa, Europe, and Latin America. It… show more.

Friedman is perhaps America’s preeminent geopolitical thinker. And like his field of study, it is his position that it is geography that creates the political and cultural decisions that drive any societies choices. Trade required two things – a surplus of product to sell and a means of getting the product to market. So he had to pick a spot on a river with access to markets and it had to be a place with soil rich enough to create agricultural surpluses. The rich prairie of Illinois created the one and the Illinois River traced as far upstream as steady… show more.