Forewarned

By Paul Goodwin,

Book cover of Forewarned: A Sceptic's Guide to Prediction

Book description

Whether it's an unforeseen financial crash, a shock election result or a washout summer that threatens to ruin a holiday in the sun, forecasts are part and parcel of our everyday lives. We rely wholeheartedly on them, and become outraged when things don't go exactly to plan.

But should we…

When you buy books, we may earn a commission that helps keep our lights on (or join the rebellion as a member).

Why read it?

1 author picked Forewarned as one of their favorite books. Why do they recommend it?

When can we trust a forecast? Given how often forecasts end up being very wide of the mark, a degree of scepticism might well be warranted. Paul Goodwin provides an entertaining account of forecasting, arguing that intuition may serve us well in some settings, but that computer-based analysis of big data might be expected to prevail in others.        

From David's list on getting an insight into forecasting.

Want books like Forewarned?

Our community of 12,000+ authors has personally recommended 84 books like Forewarned.

Browse books like Forewarned

Book cover of Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Book cover of The Weather Machine: A Journey Inside the Forecast
Book cover of Fortune Tellers: The Story of America's First Economic Forecasters

Share your top 3 reads of 2024!

And get a beautiful page showing off your 3 favorite reads.

1,187

readers submitted
so far, will you?

5 book lists we think you will like!

Interested in big data, skepticism, and intuition?

Big Data 29 books
Skepticism 14 books
Intuition 17 books