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Global Warming: Understanding the Forecast 2nd Edition

by David Archer (Author)
4.5 4.5 out of 5 stars 98 ratings
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Based on the author's highly successful undergraduate course taught at the University of Chicago, Global Warming presents the processes of climate change and climate stability. Drawing on a wide range of disciplines, this Second Edition not only summarizes scientific evidence, but also presents economic and political issues related to global warming.
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  1. ISBN-10
    0470943416
  2. ISBN-13
    978-0470943410
  3. Edition
    2nd
  4. Publisher
    John Wiley & Sons Inc
  5. Publication date
    September 21, 2011
  6. Language
    English
  7. Dimensions
    7.75 x 0.25 x 9.5 inches
  8. Print length
    203 pages
  9. See all details
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Editorial Reviews

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Q&A with Author David Archer

Author David Archer Why do you think global warming is an important issue?
Global warming is an important issue because its impacts can be pervasive, rearranging patterns of rainfall, agricultural viability, and the natural landscape. Also, the impacts of releasing CO2 in particular as a greenhouse gas are persistent; they won't just go away after a few years.

What is the one thing you wish more people understood about global warming?
That there really isn't any doubt that CO2 is a greenhouse gas, that adding CO2 to the atmosphere is already changing Earth's climate, and that there's no real scientific reason to hope that climate impacts in the future won't be severe, and worth avoiding.

When did you first become interested in the subject matter you teach?
I am interested in the cycles and balances of chemicals through the environment, the way that the natural world keeps itself regulated and in balance. I went to oceanography school from my native Indiana without knowing much at all about the science of the oceans. My work in oceanography pertains to the carbon cycle; for example, how the CO2 concentrations of the air and water interact with each other. I started teaching this class to non-science majors, and found that non-scientists can understand the science, down to the fundamentals, if we start from the beginning.

What would you say to people who don’t believe global warming is real and dispute the scientific evidence that backs it up?
If there were scientific arguments on both sides, then they should be considered. But most of the arguments disputing a present and future human impact on climate seem to be constructed specifically to fool non-scientists, or to give them an excuse to discount the issue.

What are the biggest contributors to global warming and is it possible to reverse the process?
The biggest contributors to the problem are the people of the United States, who emit more CO2 per capita than just about anyone in the world. If the whole world were to adopt the American lifestyle, the rate of CO2 emission would increase by a factor of about five. We are leading the world to ruin.

What can we expect in the next 100 years going forward, if global warming continues?
I think droughts and storminess would be the most noticeable differences.

About the Author

David Archer is the author of Global Warming: Understanding the Forecast, published by John Wiley and Sons and a book for popular audiences called The Long Thaw: How Humans are Changing the Next 100,000 years of the Earth's Climate, published by Princeton University Press and winner of the 2009 Walter P. Kistler Award, The Foundation for the Future.
Since 1993, Archer has been a professor in the department of Geophysical Sciences at the University of Chicago and has worked on a wide range of topics pertaining to the global carbon cycle and its relation to the global climate, with a special focus on ocean sedimentary processes such as CaCO3 dissolution and methane hydrate formation and their impact on the evolution of atmospheric CO2.
He currently teaches classes on global warming, environmental chemistry and global geochemical cycles.

Product details

  • Publisher ‏ : ‎ John Wiley & Sons Inc; 2nd edition (September 21, 2011)
  • Language ‏ : ‎ English
  • Paperback ‏ : ‎ 203 pages
  • ISBN-10 ‏ : ‎ 0470943416
  • ISBN-13 ‏ : ‎ 978-0470943410
  • Item Weight ‏ : ‎ 13.6 ounces
  • Dimensions ‏ : ‎ 7.75 x 0.25 x 9.5 inches
  • Customer Reviews:
    4.5 4.5 out of 5 stars 98 ratings

About the author

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David Archer

David Archer

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David Archer is a computational ocean chemist, and has been a Professor at the Department of The Geophysical Sciences at the University of Chicago since 1993. He has published research on the carbon cycle of the ocean and the sea floor. He has worked on the history of atmospheric CO2 concentration, the fate of fossil fuel CO2 over geologic time scales in the future, and the impact of CO2 on future ice age cycles, ocean methane hydrate decomposition, and coral reefs.

Customer reviews

4.5 out of 5 stars
4.5 out of 5
98 global ratings

Top reviews from the United States

Music Lover
5.0 out of 5 stars RENT YOUR BOOKS! (Save money and the environment by reusing!)
Reviewed in the United States on July 10, 2019
Verified Purchase
Great book that helped with UMass Geo 100 level Environmental Change course.
The book it’s self was a bit beat up, with some kind of oil stain with in the front cover. However it did not affect the interior of the book at all. Since this is a book, quite literally, about environmental change and the reasons we must do the best that we can for our environment I strongly believe in renting textbooks and this one should stay in circulation. It still has a lot of good life left!

As for the book it’s self it is a lot about the math involved in our atmosphere and environmental change. If you are interested in the math of it, and that is complex, this is a wonderful book. However if you are interested in the actual workings of the atmosphere but not the math you can skip over the biggest calculations and still learn an incredible amount.

Also make sure you look up the professor who wrote the book, David archer, online and check out the companion series of lectures from the University of Chicago. Each one is short, under seven minutes, and extremely valuable for truly understanding what you’re reading.

Also, take it from me as an adult student, it is better to rent any books than to buy the them. None of the textbooks that I kept for my first time in university in the late 90s have I ever looked at again... And if I did I would want the most up to date editions .Save yourself a lot of time, energy, money, and aggravation by renting your books and returning them. You can always rent them again later if you need them!

Good luck to us all and please GO SAVE THE ENVIRONMENT!
3 people found this helpful
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S. Warfield
5.0 out of 5 stars Everyone needs a book about Climate Change
Reviewed in the United States on August 20, 2013
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After taking a course on Climate Change, I wanted to read and study more about it on my own. I bought this book and haven't regretted it. David Archer begins with a chapter on "Humankind and Climate" and from there goes on to begin Part I "The Greenhouse Effect." Each chapter is followed up with Take Home Points which are statements to review and consider, Study Questions, Further Reading and lastly a series of Exercises.

Part II covers "The Carbon Cycle" with three chapters on Carbon on Earth, Fossil Fuels and Energy, and The Perturbed Carbon Cycle. Part III is "The Forecast" which covers, among other things, Potential Climate Impacts." In Part I the author includes a chapter on Weather and Climate, and from my own experience with people who don't believe in Climate Change, many don't know the difference between the two, so a good discussion is necessary, as well as mankind's part in the problem.

The book also covers numerical modeling and has colorplates of maps of climate model annual mean temperature, maps of climate model temperature changes from the year 2000 and various maps of climate model precipitation.

"Global Warming: Understanding the Forecast" by David Archer is a textbook for undergraduates who are non-science majors, but I am able to follow it myself after a thorough course on Climate Change that went into numerical modeling in much more detail than this book does. It is a good book to help understand the problem.

The book takes into consideration the roles of economics, population and land use in Global Warming and considers some solutions.

Highly recommended.
20 people found this helpful
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WVU Highlander
5.0 out of 5 stars Very readable and understandable. Excellent as an introduction. Also a good reference.
Reviewed in the United States on February 28, 2021
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David Archer brings abstract concepts into concrete terms throughout this text. An entertaining and enjoyable read. The exercises in this text are recommended to help the reader carry away deeper understanding of principles, ideas and applications. Basic science is presented in clear terms and will help the general reader as well as those in other areas of science better understand climate issues. The serious reader is encouraged to take David Archer's course through Coursera. It is a close companion to the materials presented in the text - and it's free. The reader will also learn to use software to model the Earth's transmission spectra under different scenarios along with many other intriguing climate physics models. At whatever the level of interest, the reader will benefit from the presentations in the book, be better informed regarding climate change and better understand the flaws in climate skeptic claims.
One person found this helpful
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Laura Funk
4.0 out of 5 stars Good book, seller is great
Reviewed in the United States on July 21, 2016
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This was an informative textbook for my global climate change masters class. I am actually not going to resell it because it has good information and resources. The seller was quick with shipping and the price point was awesome.
2 people found this helpful
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Gert Van Bunderen
3.0 out of 5 stars Not always accurate in calculations and sometimes unclear
Reviewed in the United States on March 15, 2020
Verified Purchase
I started reading this book as part of a master class in environmental science. I soon noticed that the book was much more technical than expected. Too little explanation is given for the interpretation of the graphs (example: figure 4-8). The calculation is not always clear either, so the results of formula 3.5 deviate from what is stated in table 3.1. and you never get +15 degrees with the data. On the other hand, the book as a whole provides an insight into how to arrive at climate models.
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Sarah
5.0 out of 5 stars This is an excellent and concise review of the science behind global warming
Reviewed in the United States on February 1, 2016
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This is an excellent and concise review of the science behind global warming. I appreciated that the author provides online access to lots of different models that allow you to play with the data yourself. This really helps with understanding the forces at work and how they're interconnected. It also gives you a sense for where our gaps in knowledge are, and how uncertainties affect our predictions of future climate change.

One important note: I used the online version of the book, and found that the links the models are all broken because the URLs have changed since the book was published. If you find that this hasn't been fixed, Google the names of the models and you should be able to find them.
3 people found this helpful
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Daniel Gonzalez D.
5.0 out of 5 stars The book is about Global Warming
Reviewed in the United States on July 5, 2022
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The book is extremely interesting and teaches us all about global warming
I really enjoyed reading this book for one of my courses in college
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Top reviews from other countries

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jwaustinNL
5.0 out of 5 stars Two 'problems' with the book.
Reviewed in Canada on April 29, 2024
Verified Purchase
The book is EXCELLENT and the first issue is that (1) it covers a lot of science from my misspent youth and there is EFFORT involved in reading it. That is a GOOD thing.

(2) In my Android Galaxy Kindle app, I can't change the font size. I wonder whether this is due to my tablets age or because somebody thinks they can protect copyright with limited text size (they can't - screen scraping is very good these days).
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Alex
4.0 out of 5 stars LLEGÓ BIEN
Reviewed in Mexico on January 25, 2021
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LLEGÓ BIEN
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davide
5.0 out of 5 stars Très facile à lire, complet et à jour.
Reviewed in France on January 12, 2020
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Ce bouquin est très intéressant. Je l'ai utilisé comme complément au MOOC Coursera du même David Archer. Très utile pour arriver à comprendre tous les aspects de la recherche, même récente, sur les changements climatiques. Beaucoup de graphes explicatifs et un style simple mais précis.
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Joachim Gruber
5.0 out of 5 stars my main source of information
Reviewed in Germany on October 4, 2019
Verified Purchase
David Archer's book "Global warming - Understanding the Forcast", his free online video lectures at University of Chicago and the online interactive models he offers for free (particularly ISAM, see the graphical ISAM interface in the first figure above) have been my prime sources of information for preparing a high school class on the climate crisis (I'm a physicist by training).

In particular, throughout its Fifth Assessment Report (IPCC AR5) the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) frequently compares the results of a multi-model ensemble of Earth System Models used in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) on the one hand and the reduced complexity Model for the Assessment of Greenhouse-gas Induced Climate Change (MAGICC) on the other hand. David Archer's book, lectures and online model ISAM helped me understand a rather important issue: climate scientists distinguish between (*) the probability of a reduced complexity model result (the curve in the above second figure) and (*) the number of CMIP model computations delivering that result (represented by a plume in the second of the above figures).
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Joachim Gruber
5.0 out of 5 stars my main source of information
Reviewed in Germany on October 4, 2019
David Archer's book "Global warming - Understanding the Forcast", his free online video lectures at University of Chicago and the online interactive models he offers for free (particularly ISAM, see the graphical ISAM interface in the first figure above) have been my prime sources of information for preparing a high school class on the climate crisis (I'm a physicist by training).

In particular, throughout its Fifth Assessment Report (IPCC AR5) the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) frequently compares the results of a multi-model ensemble of Earth System Models used in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) on the one hand and the reduced complexity Model for the Assessment of Greenhouse-gas Induced Climate Change (MAGICC) on the other hand. David Archer's book, lectures and online model ISAM helped me understand a rather important issue: climate scientists distinguish between (*) the probability of a reduced complexity model result (the curve in the above second figure) and (*) the number of CMIP model computations delivering that result (represented by a plume in the second of the above figures).
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Jammy Dodger
5.0 out of 5 stars Science text book but accessible
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on December 7, 2013
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Very readable text book. Straightforward and to the point.

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